Countries that adopted test trace isolate had 100 times less deaths per person than lockdown+vaccinations. Even countries with mixed approach 10 times less per person.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-54504785 “The Chinese city of Qingdao is testing its entire population of nine million people for Covid-19 over a period of five days. The mass testing comes after the discovery of a dozen cases linked to a hospital treating coronavirus patients arriving from abroad. In May, China tested the entire city of Wuhan – home to 11 million people and the epicentre of the global pandemic. The country has largely brought the virus under control. That is in stark contrast to other parts of the world, where there are still high case numbers and lockdown restrictions of varying severity. In a statement posted to Chinese social media site Weibo, Qingdao’s Municipal Health Commission said six new cases and six asymptomatic cases had been discovered.”

The “zero COVID” countries imposed much fewer and weaker restrictions: people could travel, shop, work, got to parties and restaurants, quite freely, (with some occasional limited exceptions), and with death rates 10-100 times lower (times, not percent).

The endless discussions about passport/no-passport, mask/no-mask, hard/soft lockdown distract from the really big point, that the strategies (“fatalistic liberalism” according to a recent article on “The Guardian”) used so far by Johnson in England, Sturgeon in Scotland, Starmer-Drakeford in Wales, with the full endorsement of Davey, have resulted in death rates per 100,000 so far 100 (or even just 10) times higher than in countries that have adopted different variants of test-trace-isolate:

  • 211.70 Italy, 197.74 Poland, 192.25 United Kingdom, 184.48 United States, 166.01 France, 142.25 Sweden, 127.05 Switzerland, 109.95 Germany, 101.71 Ireland

  • 17.63 Finland, 14.85 Norway, 11.92 Cuba, 11.72 Japan, 8.03 Iceland

  • 3.20 Thailand, 2.89 China-Taiwan, 0.63 Singapore, 0.53 New Zealand, 0.35 China-mainland, 0.09 Vietnam

Korea-south, it is also Australia (a bit hamfisted), China-mainland, New Zealand, China-Taiwan, and to a lesser degree Iceland, Norway, Finland, etc., with death rate 10-100 times lower than the UK, Italy, USA, etc.; and they have had no or negligible loss of jobs and income as another result.

But it is an ideological story: half-baked lockdowns and then complete reliance on vaccination are very important for establishing that public health is the responsibility of individuals and can fixed by products from megacorps, not of the public health system run on state funds (“Fatalist liberalism”).

https://twitter.com/thatalicewu/status/1330287079708893184 “Then again, they haven’t had a case in 200 days. And everyone has been living their lives freely since February. A note on contact tracing: I’m no expert, and historically a proponent of privacy, but if you have a credit card, or downloaded any number of apps, it seems “they” already have your info. So in a gosh-darn pandemic: sign up for contact tracing! Again, not an expert. But again: EVERYONE IN TAIWAN HAS BEEN LIVING THEIR LIVES FREELY SINCE FEBRUARY! I mean yes, people voluntarily wear masks in public places, but otherwise, restaurants, subways, etc are packed.”

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jan/27/five-ways-the-government-could-have-avoided-100000-covid-deaths «While the number of UK deaths has entered the hundreds of thousands, New Zealand has recorded only 25 deaths from Covid-19 so far. Taiwan has recorded seven, Australia 909, Finland 655, Norway 550 and Singapore 29. These countries have largely returned to normal daily life. […] Countries that managed to effectively contain Sars-CoV-2 implemented screenings of new arrivals and 14-day quarantines for those entering the country.»

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-53816511 «But Wuhan has not had a local coronavirus case since mid-May, and about 9.9 million people in the city have been tested for the virus. There are no bans in place on large gatherings.»

https://twitter.com/MarkDGeorge/status/1330509190507364352 «Mark George @MarkDGeorge Greetings from Thailand, population 70 million, not an island, <4,000 cases, 60 deaths, no local transmissions in months. Andrew Cornelio* @andrewcorn Strange that Thailand is never mentioned in the list of countries that have successfully managed the pandemic. We’re living our lives practically normally now. Masks are mandatory. We haven’t had a local case in over 3 months.»

https://www.bloombergquint.com/businessweek/a-guide-to-2021-covid-vaccines-stimulus-sanity “China, which clamped down on Covid with compulsory mask wearing isolation of the sick, and effective contact tracing. Chinese are blithely eating in restaurants, sitting in theaters, attending school, and going back to work. On Jan. 18 the government reported GDP grew 2.3% in 2020, which makes China the only major economy to to avoid a contraction for the year.»